[ QUOTE ]
My theory of Downs syndrome is as follows:
Women are also born with all the eggs they will ever have. Now say, just for the sake of argument, they have 480 eggs. Only one of those 480 eggs is capable of producing a Downs syndrome child. So, the chance of that Downs egg getting randomly ovulated during the first 20 years (after puberty) are fairly small, but as they woman ages, the chance of this egg being ovulated get higher, and higher, and after 40 years (if you're a super-menopause-avoiding-woman

) then, the only egg left will be that Downs egg. So the probability there is 100% of getting a Downs syndrome baby.
[/ QUOTE ]
I don't see how this holds up statistically:
If the Downs Syndrome egg were to be just a random event the chance of it being ovulated at any time would be the same for Super Menopause Avoider as for Schoolgirl Mother.
For it to work as you've described, something would have to delay the use of the Downs Syndrome egg, so that it kept not getting chosen until the very end, like the unpopular child at school when the games teachers' pets were choosing sports teams...
Of course, the more babies a woman has the more chance she has of "picking" that egg, but without some other mechanism at work that egg could be picked as often in a young woman's pregnancy as an older woman's; but older women do seem more at risk of having Downs Syndrome children than younger women. In fact more Downs Syndrome kids would be born to younger women than older ones, in terms of actual numbers since more young women have babies.
So even if this isn't due to damage as a result of having been around a long time (and could not damage occur from being "in Storage?" after all, the cell has to stay alive, and from what you say doesn't have the chance to mend itself) - there has to be some sort of mechanism to explain the statistics; maybe the eggs were the first ones formed before Super Menopause Avoider really got her eye in, and are now reappearring from the back of the queue? Or perhaps faulty eggs are somehow slow in coming forward and get left until last? If there is some such mechanism, I suppose it could exist in horses too?
Really useful and interesting post.
Perhaps you could also clarify what brings a mare into season? I know day length is involved, but mine do seem to go on & off with the weather, and cycle oddly in some years.